Monday, August 12, 2024

A million government jobs

 

What do you call it when you take over an organization and fire a majority of the staff? A Musk? A Milei? Perhaps a Trump 47?

Everyone is so freaked out by this concept. They see it as raider behavior, unfair to the workers, and possibly devastating to the economy. It’s the sort of thing that venture capitalists do after an unfriendly merger, after all.

Too many people don’t understand economics.

I’m not saying that massive layoffs are without costs, especially in an area that has put all of its eggs in one economic basket. My town is currently reeling from John Deere’s decision to move production to Mexico.

But in a healthy economy, layoffs are as much opportunities as they are obstacles. When one group stops using a resource, another group has the chance to obtain it at a lower cost. Local industries which have been struggling to find qualified staff will grow because former Deere’s workers are looking for jobs. It has been decades since the farm equipment giant was hiring unskilled labor, too, so they are people with valuable education and experience. A lot of those workers will lose some income, which is hard, but it also happens to various people all the time.

The government is different in some ways. Too much of the fat in our bureaucracy only exists because bureaucracy might as well be a synonym for cancer. It starts as healthy cells trying to accomplish something valuable and becomes a tumor with the potential to destroy the organism. Economic forces generally stop it from being lethal to private enterprises, but the government is sadly, mostly immune to the cure. The percent of revenues that actually make it to productive activities has been shrinking rapidly for decades in public institutions. Your local school is probably a prime example. Teachers who decades ago shared a handful of administrative staff are now seriously outnumbered by them, while educational outcomes have tanked by every single metric available. If you wanted to cut that budget, you wouldn’t fire the teacher. You would fire the backroom, but every time the budget is threatened, the plan endangers the jobs of classroom staff.

If you can find an honest teacher and get her to speak off the record, the odds are she knows those people eat reports for breakfast and everything they do actually makes the frontline job harder and less effective. Frankly, the whole economy needs far fewer people who create nothing but obstacles to output. The only downside to firing them is the risk that they will continue to hamper productivity anywhere they land. The upside is that the whole organization would probably be healthier paying their unemployment than letting them keep their jobs.

This is why the corporate raiders start this way. And corporate raiders exist because they can increase productivity and cut costs. We shouldn’t be afraid of this, even when it hits us personally. We should be afraid of the people who take almost half of every dime we make to produce goods and services we would never buy at going rate.